Mircea Marian: "The delay of parliamentary elections to the presidential created a problem for parties in Romania: they desperately need a locomotive to bring them votes."
Ion Iliescu will no longer candidate, Traian Băsescu keeps a suspicious distance towards his favorite party, and the liberals have not ever had a powerful leader. No party has about 460 strong candidates - each one in a different college - to mobilize at the local level, the electorate. The only solution to attract the voters is that of a strong candidate to the position of prime minister.
But who believes that Stolojan, Geoană or even Tariceanu will end up at the helm of the government? They all have a past that's loaded, they all face an opposition in their own party. Further, the one who must nominate the person who will lead the future executive is president Traian Băsescu.
For all these reasons, I personally think that none of those who announced during the last days, the intention of becoming Prime Minister will not (again) fulfill this dream. In the case of Tariceanu, things are simple. At the elections, PNL will finish only thrird and will be forced to enter a coalition with a bigger party, which will want to impose their own variant. And even if, in negotiations, the Liberals will win the post of prime minister, Basescu will not accept in any form - even with the risk of early elections - Tariceanu. In the case of Mircea Geoană, there are at least two very important players who will cut his wings: Iliescu and Traian Basescu.
Stolojan's situation is a little better: polls show that is more popular than its own party, and the president of Romania doesn't have anything to reproach him - at least officially. But the former chairman of the PLD is not enjoying the support of the former Democrat leaders, headed by Vasile Blaga. Even if sociological studies show that the electorate has much confidence in Theodor Stolojan, many of PDL fear that he has no ability to attract votes also.
Others say that he would be too old. Perhaps is for this reason that Stolojan has chosen to announce his candidacy in a bathing suit, in a physical form worthy of envy, especially that, in October, he will turn 65 years. All the leaders of parties with hopes that they will win the elections are aware of the problems of gentlemen Stolojan Geoană or Tariceanu. Discreet, they are looking for alternatives. It is a very, very shortly before the elections and will be very difficult to gain popularity for a relatively new character in politics. The ideal portrait of a candidate would be: young, leading a successful business, preferably in a multinational company, educated abroad and, if possible, and with little experience in administration and politics. For example, Costin Borc, former adviser to the Prime Minister Radu Vasile and now director at Lafarge, would correspond to this description.
A new figure, with a clean biography would be, in my opinion also, the ideal solution. But what chances of survival would have such a character in the toxic swamp of the Dambovita policy?
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